Open packs
Choose each single-pack reward yourself. Bulk openings follow the strategy and keep list you set.
Run results
Tier performance and every item taken, merged into one expandable record. All tiers begin collapsed. Older aggregate-only runs remain counted, but their exact pack numbers may be unavailable.
Prize Explorer
Target adds an item to the guarantee calculator. Keep in bulk tells the smart bulk simulator to take that item instead of schematics. Every prize name links to STO Wiki.
Your target list
Every guarantee target is counted once. Edit the list in Prize Explorer.
Average packs & guarantee
The realistic long-run estimate is shown first. The absolute mathematical ceiling is available below for anyone who wants to inspect it.
Absolute worst-case ceilingExtremely unlikely
Published tier odds
“Any specific prize” assumes equal weighting among the items listed in its tier.
| Tier | Published chance | Normalized sim chance | Listed prizes | Specific prize | Schematic choice | Direct cost |
|---|
Complete Pack Contents
A reference-only list of every included prize, its tier odds, estimated individual odds, and schematic values. Expand only the categories you want to inspect.
What the tool knows
The in-game tooltip publishes tier chances of 1/100, 1/40, 1/20, 1/10, 1/4, and 1/1.75. The supplied schematic table gives both the currency choice for a tier hit and the cost to buy a prize from that tier.
Equal item weighting is an assumption. Update the model if Cryptic publishes item-level weights.
Why “for sure” is different
No finite number of random openings can guarantee a direct drop. Schematics create a real ceiling because even the lowest result offers 5 schematics.
A direct target-item drop or any higher-tier schematic result can only improve the real outcome.
Purchase assumptions
Expected value
Your average schematic return changes when you keep specific prizes instead of exchanging them.
These are long-run averages, not guarantees; rare high-tier results have a large effect.
All simulation data stays in this browser. Use Reset to clear it.